Earlier Solberg Invest articles preserved as a record of the information and views available when they were first published. They are not current market views. For the team's current work, read the latest analysis.
Most crypto investors spend countless hours checking prices, following Twitter drama, and chasing the next big pump. This article covers three high-leverage activities that can make a crypto portfolio more systematic in a single weekend.
Crypto rallies amplify both opportunity and risk. This checklist covers the portfolio structure, market-cycle indicators, security practices, entry rules and exit planning I used to prepare for periods of high volatility.
Let's be honest: Many people lose money in crypto because they make recurring mistakes. This article examines the patterns I saw most often: chasing price pumps, ignoring risk management, trading against market cycles and operating without an exit plan.
Holding onto the wrong altcoin can be devastating. This article sets out the warning signs I used to identify a weakening project, including performance against Bitcoin, developer activity, trading volume, real-world use, community engagement and market position, followed by the process I used to reassess a position.
The ASI Alliance is a group of three organizations that joined forces to create a decentralized super-intelligent AI. The three organizations in the alliance are: SingularityNET : A decentralized marketplace for AI services, aiming to create Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). Think "ChatGPT that can do anything" built and governed decentralized. Fetch.ai : A platform enabling autonomous agents (specialized AI helpers) to perform tasks and create a decentralized AI-driven economy. Ocean…
This article documents the portfolio construction, altcoin-cycle rotation and exit rules I called the Market Mastery System. It includes a hindsight comparison with holding Bitcoin from January 2020 to October 2024, followed by the indicators and decision rules I used.
Finding the right altcoins to invest in is a skill that separates successful crypto investors from the rest. The problem is that there are literally tens of thousands of coins, and 99% are either BS coins or scams. This guide will show you two simple but effective methods to discover new altcoins: exploring by sector or diving into coins on specific blockchains. 1. Find New Altcoins by Sector The crypto market can be divided into sectors like DeFi (Decentralized Finance) , Gaming , Layer-2…
The cryptocurrency market doesn’t take prisoners. If you’re not prepared, it will chew you up and spit you out. The only way to thrive—let alone survive—is to have a well-thought-out crypto investing strategy. In this article, I’ll walk you through four strategies, explain how they work, and help you decide which one suits you best. But first, let’s get clear on what a strategy is: What Is a Strategy? A strategy consists of two key components : actionable steps and a measurable goal. That’s…
The crypto market can be brutal. One moment, it feels like you’re riding a rocket to the moon, and the next, it’s a freefall into chaos. Without a proper risk management strategy, you’ll find yourself at the mercy of the market—and trust me, the market doesn’t care about your portfolio. In this article, we’ll cover the basics of risk management, why it’s essential, and how to apply simple yet effective strategies to protect your investments and maximize your long-term gains. If you want to…
Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of understanding an altcoin’s potential by evaluating the underlying technology, market adoption, the team, and other fundamental aspects. This article provides a step-by-step guide to analyzing altcoins fundamentally, using "the four essential questions" and comparative metrics. This article is not about finding new coins. It's just about analyzing them. Read this article instead if you want to find new altcoins with huge upside potential in five…
Swing trading altcoins can be one of the best ways to take advantage of the crypto market's wild price swings. It’s not about gambling or hoping for the best—it’s about following a proven process to catch predictable moves. Swing trading is all about buying altcoins during dips and selling during short/mid-term upswings, aiming to lock in consistent profits over days, weeks, or even months. Swing trading altcoins is most effective during altcoin season, which is how I made over 20X in 16…
Taking profits in crypto is one of the most overlooked yet critical aspects of investing. Everyone talks about making gains, but locking in those gains - that’s where the magic happens. In this post, we’ll break down the strategies and tools you need to ensure you’re not just making money but keeping it. If you want to learn my entire system , covering how to build a strong portfolio, systematically trade altcoins, and cash out before the next crypto winter, read this article instead: The…
This article documents the portfolio-rebalancing process I used, including time-, threshold- and cycle-based rules, sector allocations, costs and common implementation mistakes.
This archived analysis explains Polygon's scaling architecture, Polygon PoS, zkEVM, the MATIC-to-POL migration, adoption trends and the assumptions behind a 2024 price scenario.
The Graph Every app, programs, or newsletter require some kind of information to work. To get the relevant information without too much work, one needs it to be organized. On the internet, it is easy: you can just google the information or get the information automatically from a website. Now, if you need information from a blockchain (like Ethereum) or platform (like Uniswap) it's harder. Retrieving this kind of information requires a lot of work. Let's say you need the healthcare record for…
Chiliz is the leading fan token project. Macro expert Raul Pall has explicitly stated his excitement about this cryptocurrency. In this article, I'll explore the possibility of Chiliz reaching one hundred dollars. My scenario allowed Chiliz (CHZ) to reach $100 by 2040 if the crypto market grew enough. At that price, CHZ would have a market cap of $530 billion. In the rest of the article, I'll outline why I thought a $100 CHZ…
Shiba Inu has been one of the most surprising and explosive crypto projects in the last few years. Some investors become millionaires, and some lose it all. The big question I see SHIB investors asking is if it can reach one dollar. That's what I'm looking into today. My conclusion was no: a $1 Shiba Inu Coin was not realistic even with token burns and new use cases. The necessary market cap for SHIB to reach $1 is $580 Trillion, which is larger than any…
Solana was one of my best-performing investments of 2021. In this 2022 analysis, I concluded that its growing application ecosystem, partnerships, institutional interest and token economics supported the investment case, while its centralization and reliability problems remained important risks.
These days there's a lot of hype around alternative layer one solutions like Solana and Avalanche. New crypto investors often feel like Ethereum is outdated, and that the tech is "old and slow". After all, Ethereum is roughly 60,000 more expensive to transact on compared to Solana, and it's 40 times slower. Nevertheless, I would argue that Ethereum is a great investment in 2022 . In this article, I'll tell you why, and try to show the reason behind Ethereum's high valuation. The short answer…
The cryptocurrency market has exploded, with coins going 100x left and right. Algorand performed excellent in 2021, but is Algorand a good investment in 2022? Yes, Algorand is a good investment in 2022. It's one of the most promising blockchain projects in terms of technology and use cases. In addition, there are a number of real-world projects using the Algorand blockchain, increasing its value. But, Bitcoin and Ethereum are better. Let's break it down, and analyze Algorand as an investment…
(Updated 11. September 2022) I'm a big fan of "metaverse" projects like Decentraland and The Sandbox. I think they have a mind-bending high potential for creating value, both for investors and players. In this article, we'll look at Decentraland vs The Sandbox in terms of games and investments. Here's the short version: The Sandbox has higher potential returns but is riskier. Decentraland is the better investment for long-term holders, as the risk is lower, and the adoption of the game, which…
(Updated 19. September 2022) Decentraland was my first encounter with “the metaverse”, but Sandbox has hijacked much of my excitement about this crazy sector of the crypto market. In this article, I’m looking into the possibility of The Sandbox (SAND) reaching $1,000. My conclusion was that The Sandbox could reach $1,000 if it captured a meaningful share of value created in the metaverse. At that price, its market capitalization would be $1.5 trillion. The main obstacle…
This archived comparison examines USDC and DAI by collateral, governance, market size and historical price stability. At the time, I preferred USDC because I found its reserve and legal structure easier to assess, while DAI offered greater decentralization.
This archived comparison examines USDC and USDT by reserves, transparency, liquidity and trading-pair availability. At the time, I preferred USDC for its reserve attestations while recognizing USDT's greater liquidity.
(Updated 16. September 2022) The battle between Cosmos and Algorand is like the battle between "the internet of blockchains" and "the future of finance". Two of the most promising projects in the crypto space that actually innovate. Here's the short answer: Cosmos and Algorand are decentralized platforms that strive to become faster, easier, and more practical to use. They both utilize new technology like interoperability , but Algorand may have an edge as they are functioning as the bridge…
The Internet of blockchains VS an Ethereum killer; These two projects are cutting-edge innovators of blockchains, Dapps, and scalability. Conceived in 2014 but technically launched in 2016, Cosmos is a platform that's been pushing the decentralized cryptoverse to become faster, easier, and more practical for years. And they love to connect creativity with technology! Cardano, another decentralized blockchain was launched in the same year by Ethereum Co-Founder, Charles Hoskinson. His primary…
(Updated in September 2022) Cosmos and Solana strive to make the crypto space faster, easier, and more practical. Born in 2014, Cosmos is a veteran. Solana is a younger project with a technical birth in 2020. The question is: which of them is the better investment? Solana has more potential for swing trading profits in the short/mid term while Cosmos is a better long-term hold due to the lower risk and more established position in the crypto market. In this article, I will weigh each of these…
Cardano and Avalanche are both fighting to deploy the best smart contracts in the cryptoverse. These two platforms are considered Ethereum Killers because they both outperform Ethereum's transaction and confirmation speeds. I'll compare them in this article, and let you know what I personally think about these two projects, trying to give you a better understanding of Avalanche and Cardano. My conclusion at the time favored Cardano as the lower-risk investment because of its high market cap and…
(Updated 16. September 2022) Avalanch and Solana are platforms for decentralized apps (Dapps) in competition with Ethereum. I'll compare them, and decide which one I like best fundamentally and as an investment. Here's the short answer: Solana is a better investment than Avalanche, historically speaking. SOL outperformed AVAX with a factor of 4.86 from 2021 to 2022. Fundamentally, they're both strong, but their missions, and relative competition in their niches, give Solana the edge over…
(Updated 11. September 2022) This archived comparison examines proof of stake and proof of work by incentives, energy use, network performance and decentralization. At the time, I expected proof of stake to displace mining for many projects, but not Bitcoin.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are highly correlated but still move significantly relative to each other. This article documents the three inputs I used when rotating between them: the ETH/BTC chart, Bitcoin dominance and general market sentiment.
Ahh, the ever-expanding world of cryptocurrency. In this article, I compare the differences, similarities and advantages I saw in non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and decentralized finance (DeFi), then explain which projects in each sector interested me at the time.
I've been in the crypto game for a long time. Through research and plenty of trial and error, I developed the Bitcoin investing and trading strategy described in this article. The original strategy consisted of an active trading component and a passive BTC-lending component. This article explains how I built it around my goals and risk tolerance. What Is A Bitcoin Investing/Trading Strategy? Before we can make a…
(updated 08. September 2022) I've researched, written about and invested in cryptocurrencies for several years. Ethereum is my next largest crypto investment, and here's what I think about its long-term potential: Ethereum is a great long-term investment because of its leading position in the programmable blockchain sector, its institutional acceptance and adoption, its significant upgrades and the deflationary economics of ETH. We'll get into every point above in more detail, but first, a…
This archived comparison examines Uniswap and PancakeSwap by chain, fees, decentralization, features and the historical performance and volatility of their UNI and CAKE tokens.
(Updated 19. September 2022) I first brushed Binance coin off as another token with little real-world use, but later changed my view. Under the scenarios in this article, BNB could reach $10,000-$100,000 only if it captured 3.25%-10% of the crypto market while Bitcoin reached at least one million dollars. Its market cap would then be $1-$10 trillion.
(Updated 16. September 2022) Polkadot is a fascinating project with real use cases. My scenario allowed DOT to reach $1,000, but probably not before the following decade. At that price, Polkadot would have a market capitalization above $1 trillion, which I regarded as unrealistic until Bitcoin approached one million dollars.
Both Bitcoin (BTC) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) had a turbulent year in 2021. This comparison summarizes their similarities and differences. My conclusion at the time was that BTC was the stronger asset because of its network effects, security and adoption, while BCH had not delivered on its intended use case as a more efficient Bitcoin.
(Updated 18. September 2022) This archived analysis compares proof of work and proof of stake in the context of Bitcoin. My conclusion was that a transition was very unlikely because I viewed proof of work as fundamental to Bitcoin's security model and store-of-value narrative.
(Updated 10. September 2022) This archived comparison examines VeChain and Chainlink by use case, adoption and historical volatility. At the time, I preferred Chainlink for long-term exposure and treated VeChain as the more volatile trading asset.
(Terra collapsed in the summer of 2022. Please, be careful about putting money into anything Terra-related.) This archived comparison explains the similarities and differences I saw between Terra and Ethereum before Terra's collapse. At the time, I preferred Ethereum for long-term exposure because of its larger application and developer ecosystem.
(Updated 08.09.2022) This archived analysis examines Pi Network's mobile token-distribution model, launch status, user base and potential valuation. At the time, I considered it a legitimate but highly uncertain project whose tokens still depended on an active market launching.
(Updated 10. September 2022) This archived comparison examines VeChain and Cardano by use case, token issuance, historical performance and competitive position. At the time, I gave VeChain a slight edge because I considered its supply-chain focus more differentiated.
(Updated 18. September 2022) In this article, I will explain how high Cardanos transaction fees are, and how they are calculated. I’ll also give you some context about how the fees might change in the future. Here's the short answer: The minimum transaction fee on Cardano is 0.16 ADA, which is $0.074. On top of that, you pay to get your transaction "prioritized" by validators. This fee depends on the network traffic. On average, a transaction on the Cardano network costs $0.2-$0.4. Compared to…
This archived article examines why many altcoins historically moved with Bitcoin, including trading-pair structure, market sentiment, BTC-denominated portfolios and shared technology. A 2019 academic paper documented connectedness across major cryptocurrencies.
I've been in this market for many years, and Ethereum is one of my favorite coins to trade. In this article, I'll give you a great strategy that works just as well for beginners and experts, designed to create long-term, sustainable profits. It will outperform Bitcoin and make outsized returns compared to most investors. Keep in mind; This is not financial advice. It is purely educational and informational content! Let's begin with the basics, and work our way towards a fully formulated…
Cardano and Solana have made commendable gains in the year 2021. I have been analyzing both of these projects for quite a while now, and I will be comparing Cardano vs Solana and discuss their similarities and differences. Also, I will try to elaborate on which coin has a higher profit potential for the future. Cardano is better than Solana for long-term holding due to the lower risk. However, Solana is the best coin to trade as the volatility is higher. Now let’s dive into the basics of both…
(Updated 14. September 2022) This archived comparison examines XRP and Dogecoin by use case, supply, historical performance and volatility. Despite DOGE's much stronger prior-cycle return, I considered XRP's underlying use case more durable.
XRP holders are typically passionate and loyal to the project, banding together like an army of soldiers. Many moons ago, I myself was part of this army. Anyways, in this article, I'll try to figure out if XRP can reach $1000. XRP might reach $1000 if it becomes the chosen currency of all the major banks on earth and the circulating supply becomes deflationary, but it is highly unlikely. The market capitalization of a thousand-dollar-XRP will reach $100 Trillion, which is five times the GDP of…
Between 2016 and 2018, there were debates in the bitcoin community regarding certain technical parameters. These disagreements led to deep ideological divisions. Ultimately, several new networks were deployed to compete with the Bitcoin blockchain. Many find these Bitcoin ‘forks’ confusing, so today, I’ll do a deep-dive on Bitcoin SV and determine if Bitcoin SV is a good investment. No, Bitcoin SV is not a good investment. This network has serious security flaws and fails as a store-of-value.…
(Updated 16. September 2022) Cardano is one of my "long-term holds" and an exciting crypto project. It has one of the strongest communities and the most thorough process of development I've ever seen. In this article, I'll look into the possibility of Cardano reaching one thousand dollars in the future. My conclusion was that a $1,000 Cardano was not realistic because it would be worth roughly twice the GDP of the USA. The only scenario I could construct required Ethereum to fail and…
(Updated 17. September 2022) ADA, the native cryptocurrency of the Cardano blockchain, is an exciting crypto with a strong following. In this article, I'll look into the economics of this token and figure out if Cardano is deflationary or not. Here's the short answer: Cardano is not deflationary, but it will be in 2030 and beyond. At the moment, the inflation rate is 4.72%. However, the inflation rate decreases exponentially over time and will be 0.9% in 2030. Assuming 1% of the supply is lost…
(Updated 14. September 2022) Ever since I started investing in Bitcoin, people have been debating a "million-dollar Bitcoin". My scenario was that Bitcoin could reach $1,000,000 if institutional adoption accelerated and a sound regulatory framework emerged. At that price, it would have a fully diluted market capitalization of $21 trillion; the models explored here placed that outcome within the following decade.
Non-fungible tokens (NFT's) have exploded in the first half of 2021. Therefore, I’m analyzing a number of projects in this sector of the crypto market at the moment. In today’s article, I’ll be contrasting Decentraland vs Enjin to explain their similarities and differences and to argue which has the brighter future. Although they are both great projects, Decentealand seems to have a slight edge against Enjin due to the more targeted approach to gaining adoption. Decentraland has many of…
(Updated 21. September 2022) This archived analysis examines Theta Fuel's use case, token distribution, adoption, team and historical performance. At the time, those factors supported my positive conclusion, while the token's uncapped supply remained a risk.
Let me begin with this: I have invested in both Chainlink and Ethereum. Also, I put both of them on my top three best crypto investments for the next five years list. In this article, I'll look at Chainlink vs Ethereum in terms of use case and investment and try to figure out which is the best cryptocurrency. Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network, while Ethereum is a blockchain platform for developers to build applications on. In terms of market cap, Ethereum is 32 times larger. The…
I've been watching Enjin for over two years now. I first bought it in April of 2020, at a price below ten cents - good times! In this article, I'm addressing a question I frequently get - Is Enjin Decentralized? Yes, Enjin is decentralized. It runs on the Ethereum blockchain and is decentralized as per the mechanisms in its whitepaper. They are currently developing a new next-generation blockchain called Efinity on top of Polkadot, which will also be decentralized. Suggested reading: Does…
I think Decentraland is an exciting project, both technologically, as an investment, and as a place to spend time and build stuff. In this article, I will share a detailed step-by-step tutorial on how to build in Decentraland. Building in Decentraland can be done in two ways: One is using the Builder Tool, and the other is through the Decentraland SDK. The Builder tool is preferred by most people, as it is beginner-friendly and requires no technical skills. I will show you how to build, step…
(Updated 11. September 2022) I think the metaverse sector is one of the most promising sectors in the cryptocurrency market. Decentraland is one of the largest projects in this space, but does it have a future? Here's the short answer: Yes, Decentraland has a bright future due to its exposure to the growing NFT market, novel income streams, committed community, and progressive governance model. It is one of the leading projects in its sector, and an early mover on digitized real estate,…
(Updated 10. September 2022) I'm a long-term bull on Chainlink, but I still have doubts from time to time. In this article, I'll look into the future of Chainlink, and try to get a better understanding of the future of oracle networks in general. Here's the short answer: Yes, Chainlink has a future. If mainstream adoption of cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology is to occur, there has to be an oracle network connecting blockchain data and real-world data. Chainlink is the leading oracle…
(Updated 10. September 2022) I first bought Chainlink back in April of 2020, right before the first DEFI wave that summer. Priced at $3 per LINK, I used to shake my head when people were talking about a $1000 Chainlink. In this article, I'm gonna keep an open mind and try to figure out if Chainlink can reach $1000. Here's the short answer: Yes, Chainlink can reach $1000. A $1000 Chainlink would have a market capitalization of $440 Billion. Assuming a Chainlink dominance of 1.47% and a Bitcoin…
2021 has been a breakout year for non-fungible tokens (NFT's). From collectibles such as NBA Topshots to gaming projects such as Axie Infinity, the space has exploded in popularity. I've been searching for a solid investment in an NFT infrastructure project that could benefit from the sector's expected growth over the coming years. As such, I’ve been analyzing the Enjin project in recent weeks to answer the question, ‘does Enjin have a future’? Yes, Enjin has a promising future due to the…
Ever wanted to invest in real estate, but hesitated because of all the hassle of paperwork and limited opportunities? I have an easier option and a great alternative for you; buying parcels in Decentraland. This article shows, step by step, exactly how to buy a parcel in Decentraland. There are two ways to buy a parcel in Decentraland . One is to purchase from Decentraland Marketplace directly, and the other is to take the help of a third-party platform like OpenSea. Here are a few commonly…
I have seen many crypto enthusiasts getting confused about the differences between BNB and wrapped BNB. Hopefully, this article will help you out if you still feel uncertain about why Binance has created BNB and wrapped BNB. The basic difference between BNB and Wrapped BNB is that BNB is not associated with the BEP-20 standard, while wrapped BNB conforms to this standard. Consequently, you can use wrapped BNB on the Binance smart chain, but not BNB. Let's get into the details of what they are,…
(Updated 21. September 2022) This archived comparison examines Theta and Ethereum by use case, adoption, historical volatility and market size. At the time, I preferred Ethereum for a lower-risk long-term position and viewed Theta as the more volatile trading asset.
(Updated 13. September 2022) This archived comparison examines THETA and TFUEL by use case, token supply, staking and historical performance. Although TFUEL had performed better, I preferred THETA because staking it created exposure to both tokens.
(Updated 10. September 2022) This archived comparison examines Chainlink's adoption against Band Protocol, UMA, Nest Protocol and API3. In the historical data I gathered, Chainlink listed 22 times as many integrations as those four competitors combined.
(Updated 19. September 2022) Decentraland was my first encounter with "the metaverse". In this article, I'm looking into the question "Can Decentraland reach $100?" My scenario allowed Decentraland to reach $100 if it captured a significant share of value created in the metaverse. At that price, its market capitalization would be $170 billion. The main obstacle and reason why Decentraland…
(Updated 18. September 2022) Solana's main advantages are low transaction fees and high scalability. But exactly how low are Soloana's transaction fees? And why are they so low? Let me get straight to the point: Solana fees are on average $0.00025 per transaction. The fees are set by the competition for block space, which increases when the traffic on the blockchain increases. Solanas transaction fees are 60 thousand times lower than Ethereum's. This is because of the high scalability of…
I still remember the confusion of discovering that there are several different "Bitcoins". This comparison examines BTC, BCH, BSV and BTG as stores of value and media of exchange. My conclusion at the time was that BTC had the strongest long-term case because of its security, liquidity and network effects.
Solana is an exciting blockchain project that has high scaling abilities, fast transactions, and low fees. In this historical analysis, my scenario allowed Solana to reach $1,000 on the strength of its technology, institutional interest, application ecosystem, and partnerships. A theoretical $1,000 Solana would have a market capitalization of $273 billion, making it the…
(Updated 16. September 2022) Shitcoin investing is crazy. It can make you filthy rich in a matter of weeks, only to leave you broke a few days later. When I first got into this market, the biggest question I had was this: How to find shitcoins early? The way to find shitcoins early is to join subreddits like "r/AllCryptoBets" and Facebook groups dedicated to promoting new shitcoins. Here you can scroll through hundreds of shitcoins that recently launched. Most of them are bad, but a few of…
(Updated 18. September 2022) Very small cryptocurrencies can move rapidly in either direction and are among the riskiest parts of the market. This article documents the process I used to find, evaluate, buy, size and exit such positions while trying to remain systematic amid extreme volatility and frequent scams.
I think Dogecoin is quite funny. It brings a smile to my face when I see dead-serious businesses and rich people talk about this meme coin. Anyways, there's a lot of hype around it these days, so I was thinking: Can Dogecoin reach $10? Yes, Dogecoin can reach 10 dollars, at least in theory. The price of Dogecoin is largely based on hype and network effect, which by nature is an exponential force far beyond our comprehension. The main problem is the large supply of DOGE, which increases every…
(Updated 10. September 2022) Uniswap represents a breakthrough in the crypto markets, being one of the catalysts of the DEFI revolution. It has done great until now, but can Uniswap reach $1000 at some point in the future? My scenario allowed Uniswap to reach $1,000 if volume and revenue increased by roughly 670% while its market-cap-to-revenue ratio resembled comparable projects. Let's get into how and…
(Updated 17. Septmeber 2022) I'm a huge Ethereum bull and have a large portion of my personal portfolio carved out for it. With all the exciting stuff going on lately, I've been wondering: Can Ethereum reach $100K at some point in the future? Here's the short answer: Yes, Ethereum can reach $100K. The reasons are digital bonds, tokenized real estate and securities, DEFI, NFT, institutional accumulation, and ETH 2.0. Ethereum might hit $100,000 when Bitcoin reaches 1.5 million, probably within…
Holo is a really interesting, and radically different cryptocurrency project, with the potential to revolutionize the way we build distributed ledger systems. But is this enough? Can Holo reach $1 in the future? Holo can reach $1 if the price surges with 6500% from its current price. To do this, the mainnet needs to get launched, and Holo needs to attract more developer and users. This is definitely doable, but don't expect it to happen in 2021. However, the road to $1 is long, and will…
This archived 2021 analysis examines Holo's technical design, price history, token structure and founding team. At the time, I concluded that Holo looked attractive on those measures.
(Updated 13. September 2022) There's a lot of hype around token burns in the cryptocurrency market, and with good reason. When tokens are burned, the remaining tokens usually go up in value, due to increased scarcity. This leads to the question: Does Vechain burn tokens? Yes, Vechain burns 70% of the transaction costs, which is paid in VTHO, their "utility token". VTHO is not the same as VET, which is their "store of value and smart payment currency". However, the VeChain Foundation exercises…
(Updated 16. September 2022) Vechain is one of the most useful blockchain projects out there, with partnerships and real-world connections like few other cryptocurrencies. But can Vechain reach 100 dollars? Here's the short answer: Vechain can reach 100 dollars, but it is not likely. The market capitalization would reach almost 6.5 trillion USD, which is six times the total crypto market. For Vechain to reach $100, we need to see government-level partnerships and major institutional adoption.…
Vechain increased by more than 5000% in 2020-2021. In this 2022 analysis, I concluded that its technical setup and fundamentals supported a bullish case, while examining the project's technology, team, use cases and price charts against USD, Bitcoin and Ethereum.
I'm receiving question like this all the time; "can Algorand reach $100?". Instead of answering one at a time, I'm going to show you what I think about Algorand, and how likely it is that is reaches $100. Yes, it is possible for Algorand to reach $100, but it's not likely. This would put its market capitalization at $280 Billion, which is higher than Ethereum. However, coins like Dogecoin has proven that anything is possible in the cryptocurrency market. Let's get into why Algorand might just…
As a crypto investor, you have to diversify to spread your risk. The question then is: How much Algorand should you buy? You should buy no more Algorand than 20% of you total cryptocurrency portfolio is worth. This gives you adequate exposure to Algorand, without adding too much risk. However, this number depends on several factors. Let's get into the details, and calculate how much Algorand to buy: How To Figure Out How Much Algorand To Buy: To get the exact number of Algorand coins (ALGO)…
(Updated 11. September 2022) With its amazing technology, Algorand is becoming one of the most promising projects in the blockchain space. In this article, we'll look at the inflation rate, and the other supply mechanics of Algorands native coins, ALGO. Here's the short version: The inflation rate of Algorand (ALGO) is currently 5.5% and will fall to 5% in 2023. Since the circulating supply increases linearly, the inflation rate declines exponentially. In 2030 there will be no inflation as the…
In the myriad of existing and emerging blockchains, where each of them achieve consensus in some way, it may seem too laborious and uninteresting to investigate the way consensus is actually achieved. Furthermore, we almost take for granted that the consensus is reached in a completely decentralized fashion. The reason being that the aspect of decentralization and its corresponding absence of a centralized authority, is arguably the biggest strength of a blockchain. However, in terms of…
When Citibank and JP Morgan published large Bitcoin price scenarios, I used market-cap comparisons to explore Bitcoin's theoretical upper bounds. This was a thought experiment rather than a price prediction: a roughly $5 million scenario depended on Bitcoin matching the bond market, while the larger figures required much more extreme assumptions.
This archived 2021 article documents a logarithmic Bitcoin price band fitted to prior cycles. I used its upper boundary as a possible high-risk area and its lower boundary as a potential accumulation zone.
This article documents the Bitcoin Risk Model I used in 2021. It mapped historical market conditions onto a scale from one to ten, with higher readings associated with greater correction risk and lower readings used as potential accumulation zones. I also show how I incorporated the model into a rules-based strategy.
This archived 2021 article documents my Fair Value S2F model, which used the stock-to-flow of Bitcoin and several commodities to estimate a relative price range and market-risk zones.
There's a lot of talk about Grayscale in the news. Grayscale is a gateway for institutions and rich people to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies, and the Ethereum Grayscale Trust is one of these gateways. They have acquired almost $1.5 Billion worth of Ethereum within the last five months, but what is the Ethereum Grayscale Trust? The Ethereum Grayscale Trust (ETHE) is a security that accredited investors can buy shares in to diversify into Ethereum, without investing in Ethereum directly. This…
As a beginner you might find it hard to know exactly how to invest 1000 dollars in cryptocurrency, often leading to procrastination. At the same time, you know that your cash is losing value due to inflation, so you must do something . I'm going to tell you exactly where I would place my money as a beginner to make the best returns, without taking on too much risk. After reading this article, you'll no longer worry about picking the best cryptocurrencies, and know what I would do in your…
Some people just want to buy their damn crypto and forget about it. Well, that's actually not a bad idea, as HODLing is an excellent long-term strategy. In this historical analysis, my three picks for the following five years were Bitcoin, Ethereum and Chainlink. Together, they provided exposure to three important sectors of the crypto market: Bitcoin as a store of value, Ethereum as a platform for dApps and Chainlink…
(Updated 21. September 2022) After learning about Bitcoin, it's natural to start looking at Ethereum. But how did its risks compare with other cryptocurrencies? In this analysis, I considered Ethereum one of the relatively safer crypto assets because of its adoption, market size and developer ecosystem, while still recognizing the risks of attacks and competition.
When drinking my morning coffee, I often think about my investing strategy, and how to improve it. One question that used to bug me was "how much cryptocurrency should I buy?" The amount of cryptocurrency you should buy is at least 0.28 BTC. This makes sure you don't miss the boat on the Bitcoin revolution. If your goal is to make $100 000, you should buy 0.5747 BTC, 7.18 ETH. However, it might change depending on your risk tolerance and goals. These numbers are not random. They are the…
Some people believe that Ethereum over overtake Bitcoin as the king of crypto, an event called "the flippening". Bitcoin vs Ethereum is a question people have asking me frequently, so I decided to write about it, comparing their tech and the investment potential. It's not likely that Ethereum will win in the battle of Bitcoin vs Ethereum, as Bitcoin is more than five times as big in terms of market cap, and is the go-to cryptocurrency for institutions. However, Ethereum might be the winner in…
From the outside, it looks like people who conduct technical analysis are magicians with PhD.'s in mathematics who "just know stuff". Well, I'm here to tell you that's nonsense. Technical analysis on Bitcoin means to look for patterns on the price chart and using those patterns to inform your investment decisions. Anyone can learn how to read Bitcoin price charts and conduct technical analysis – including you. In this article, we'll be looking at the absolute basics, which oftentimes is all…
(Updated September 2022) Bitcoin is often perceived as a completely anonymous network where transactions are untraceable. It’s been heavily criticized for being the money of criminals - that drug dealers use it to evade “the man”. However, can Bitcoin be traced? Here's the short answer: Yes, Bitcoin can be traced. All transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain are public, and anyone can review them. However, you can only trace the Bitcoin wallet that the transaction stems from, not the person who…
Central banks all over the world are printing money like drunken sailors, desperately trying to keep the economy floating. Make no mistake - this will affect your life, in more ways than you might think. It's time to talk about inflation, and all the other consequences that follow. In this article we will deep-dive into several topics, including: 1) How the economy works 2) What triggers a financial crisis and how we deal with them 3) Inflation, how new money is created, the consequences of…
I'm being bombarded with questions about this; What are the best ways to invest in altcoins for a beginner? How do I research altcoins? Where do I buy altcoins? I've decided to write an article covering all your questions in detail, so that you can safely dip your greedy toes into the enriching sea of altcoins. Table of Contents: What are altcoins? Why invest in altcoins? What to look for in altcoins Where to buy altcoins How much of your portfolio should be in altcoins? The Bitcoin dominance…
The cryptocurrency market shows no mercy. It will eat you alive if you're not prepared. The only way to survive, and profit, is to have a well formulated crypto investing strategy. In this article, we will analyze three strategies to find the best crypto investing strategy for beginners. The Strategies we'll look at: HODL Buy the Dip (BTD) Swing trading (ST) Why You Need a Strategy It's simple, really. You need a strategy to prevent emotional behavior. It's hard to act rational when the market…
I saw many Bitcoin price predictions for 2021 with little substance. My base case was $100,000 in 2021/2022, based on four models and methods: stock-to-flow, logarithmic growth curves, the Fair Value S2F model and diminishing returns across prior cycles. This article documents that historical forecast and its assumptions.
Most Ethereum price predictions range from 2000$ all the way up to 20 000$. The problem is that data and sound logic do not drive them. They stick their finger in the air and make an "educated guess". That's not the way we do it. We look at the historical data, and use models to see what assumptions logically follow. We base our predictions on real stuff, making them useful and likely to be accurate. The predicted Ethereum price for 2021 is $8000. This is based on the fundamental on-chain…
A light-bulb flashed over my head the first time I really understood the effects of the Bitcoin halving on the price of Bitcoin. Knowing what the Bitcoin halving is and how it affects the price is essential for anyone seeking to understand Bitcoin. The short answer: The Bitcoin halving causes a shift in the supply/demand balance, leading to an exponential rise in the price of Bitcoin. This happens every four years and is the backbone of the value of Bitcoin. In addition, it also sparks a hype…
It took me three months to pull the trigger after I initially decided to invest in Bitcoin. I procrastinate, because I didn't know how, where or when to invest in Bitcoin. The main reasons I had for waiting to invest in Bitcoin was it's complexity, and lack of legit guides. The thing is that he crypto market waits for no one. It moves fast. For this reason I've created a simple, step-by-step guide on how to do it. Bitcoin is probably one of the best investments you can make in 2021, so you…
There are good ways and bad ways to answer the question "is Bitcoin a good investment?". Some say it's going to crash, some say it's going to the moon. Some even call it a Ponzi scheme... None of these answers helps you in any way. That's why I'm going to take a more analytical approach. We'll look at Data science models , and discuss the different factors relevant to the question. This is the best way, in my opinion, to answer the question of Bitcoin being a good investment or not. We're…
Blockchain is what we can call a "fundamental technology". In isolation, it's not all that exciting, but amazing stuff can be built on top of it. Essentially, a blockchain consists of digital blocks of information about transactions, stored on a decentralized, public database (Ledger). This database, and the information it stores, is available to everyone with an internet connection. That's a mouthful... I will break it down into digestible pieces, and stay away from fancy words only tech…
There are ways of knowing if Bitcoin is in a bullmarket, and you'll learn them in this article: Every bullmarket we've seen so far have been signaled by two things; a Golden Cross, and holding the 20-week moving average as support for a few months. I cringe every time I read/hear "Bitcoin is going parabolic, I believe it'll go to one million dollars next year!". They rarely back it up with anything other than intuition, as well as pointing to some random altcoin that 100x'ed in the last cycle…
The Bitcoin revolution will take place when Bitcoin overthrows the U. S. Dollar as the world reserve currency. When central banks hold Bitcoin, and issue currency backed in it. When commodities like oil as priced in Bitcoin, and international transactions are settled in Bitcoin. Before we discuss Bitcoin overtaking the dollars place as the world reserve currency, we'll have to discuss what it actually means to be the world reserve currency. The fact that the dollar is the world reserve…
Should you be investing in cryptocurrency vs stocks? Well, they are both great investments, but for very different reasons. Cryptocurrencies are the best investment for you if you're willing to take the risk, and put in the effort. If not, you should invest in stocks, as stock generally are easier and safer to invest in. Another factor is the time frame you're working with. In other words, which one is right for you depends on the risk you're willing to take, and how much effort you're willing…