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Round 5 · 20:00–21:00 UTC, 22 September 2026 · Completed

0 of 45 made money after fees.

Best after fees $0.00 by Echo · Top Caller · 5-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +1 (v3-g0005-p1-m8). 156 completed trades across the population, 41 closed by the bell, BTC/USD +0.06% over the round. 5 of the 5 survivors were born this round.

Survived

The five that went on

These became the unchanged parents of round 6.

  1. 1

    BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eager · 20-min View +3

    Hypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 20 minv3-g0005-p4-m8Born round 5 · mutant of v3-g0004-p5-m7
    Before fees
    +$0.13
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$4.85
    fees $4.97
    Exposure
    1.0x
    0.01% of $1,000
    First selection
  2. 2

    BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eager · 10-min View +2

    Hypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.v3-g0005-p5-m1Born round 5 · mutant of v3-g0004-p2-m7
    Before fees
    +$0.03
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$1.22
    fees $1.25
    Exposure
    0.3x
    0.00% of $1,000
    First selection
  3. 3

    BEcho · Top Caller · 5-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +1

    Forecast horizon: 15 min → 5 minv3-g0005-p1-m8Born round 5 · mutant of v3-g0004-p3-m6
    Before fees
    $0.00
    0 completed
    After fees
    $0.00
    fees $0.00
    Exposure
    flat
    0.00% of $1,000
    0 tradesTied · picked for varietyFirst selection
  4. 4

    BEcho · Top Caller · 30-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +2

    Risk stance: Eager → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.v3-g0005-p4-m6Born round 5 · mutant of v3-g0004-p5-m7
    Before fees
    $0.00
    0 completed
    After fees
    $0.00
    fees $0.00
    Exposure
    flat
    0.00% of $1,000
    0 tradesTied · picked for varietyFirst selection
  5. 5

    BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 5-min View +3

    Forecast horizon: 30 min → 5 minv3-g0005-p4-m5Born round 5 · mutant of v3-g0004-p5-m7
    Before fees
    $0.00
    0 completed
    After fees
    $0.00
    fees $0.00
    Exposure
    flat
    0.00% of $1,000
    0 tradesTied · picked for varietyFirst selection

Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.

The duel

Parents against their mutants

BEcho · Top Caller · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Onlyparent

v3-g0004-p3-m6 · ran unchanged in round 5 · eliminated this round
Top Caller · Even Keel · 15-min view · sees 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h · numbers only · every 5 min · no memory
Before fees
−$1.42
5 trades
After fees
−$7.64
fees $6.22
Exposure
up to 0.3x
of $1,000
−$3−$2−$1$0Parent −$1.42Mutant m3: −$2.70 before fees on 9 trades3Mutant m2: −$1.64 before fees on 2 trades2Mutant m6: −$1.60 before fees on 4 trades6Mutant m7: −$1.41 before fees on 3 trades7Mutant m1: −$1.10 before fees on 5 trades1Mutant m5: −$0.67 before fees on 5 trades5Mutant m4: −$0.17 before fees on 2 trades4Mutant m8: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades8better than parent →
−$3−$2−$1$0Parent −$1.42Mutant m3: −$2.70 before fees on 9 trades3Mutant m2: −$1.64 before fees on 2 trades2Mutant m6: −$1.60 before fees on 4 trades6Mutant m7: −$1.41 before fees on 3 trades7Mutant m1: −$1.10 before fees on 5 trades1Mutant m5: −$0.67 before fees on 5 trades5Mutant m4: −$0.17 before fees on 2 trades4Mutant m8: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades8better than parent →

Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 20:00–21:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.

4 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour, and 1 completed no trades, so they cannot be counted either way. 1 mutant survived into round 6.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
  1. m1
    Tie BreakerHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.
    5 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$7.32
    −$1.10▲ +$0.32 vs parent
  2. m2
    WandererHypothesis: Top Caller → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.
    2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$11.56
    −$1.64▼ −$0.22 vs parent
  3. m3
    In WordsWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words
    9 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$13.86
    −$2.70▼ −$1.28 vs parent
  4. m4
    Sees 5m/1h/4h/12hWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h
    2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$2.67
    −$0.17▲ +$1.25 vs parent
  5. m5
    20-min ViewForecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min
    5 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$6.89
    −$0.67▲ +$0.75 vs parent
  6. m6
    LeanRisk stance: Even Keel → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.
    4 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.5xafter fees −$11.53
    −$1.60▼ −$0.18 vs parent
  7. m7
    Every 10 minDecides: every 5 min → every 10 min
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.5xafter fees −$8.87
    −$1.41▲ +$0.01 vs parent
  8. m8
    5-min ViewForecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min survived
    0 tradesafter fees $0.00
    $0.00no completed trades
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 15 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse. Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.

Full record

All 45 traders

Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.

#TraderChange from parentBefore feesTradesAfter feesResult
1BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eager · 20-min View +3v3-g0005-p4-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 20 min+$0.131 (1 at the bell)−$4.85survived
2BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.+$0.031 (1 at the bell)−$1.22survived
3BEcho · Top Caller · 5-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +1v3-g0005-p1-m8Forecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min$0.000$0.00survived
4BEcho · Top Caller · 30-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +2v3-g0005-p4-m6Risk stance: Eager → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.$0.000$0.00survived
5BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 5-min View +3v3-g0005-p4-m5Forecast horizon: 30 min → 5 min$0.000$0.00survived
6BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m6Risk stance: Eager → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.$0.000$0.00eliminated
7BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h−$0.061 (1 at the bell)−$5.03eliminated
8BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +2v3-g0005-p4-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$0.063 (1 at the bell)−$3.80eliminated
9BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +3v3-g0005-p5-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 1m · 10m · 1h · 6hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$0.062 (1 at the bell)−$2.56eliminated
10BEcho · Top Caller · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0005-p1-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h−$0.172 (1 at the bell)−$2.67eliminated
11BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 20-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 10 min → 20 min−$0.232 (1 at the bell)−$2.73eliminated
12BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$0.232 (1 at the bell)−$2.73eliminated
13BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Eager → Bold Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity.−$0.242 (1 at the bell)−$2.73eliminated
14BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0004-p5-m7 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.312 (1 at the bell)−$2.81eliminated
15BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0004-p2-m7 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.321 (1 at the bell)−$1.57eliminated
16BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0005-p4-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h−$0.372 (1 at the bell)−$2.87eliminated
17BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 15 min → every 30 min−$0.381 (1 at the bell)−$1.63eliminated
18BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p2-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 5 min → every 20 min−$0.392 (1 at the bell)−$2.88eliminated
19BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Careful · 5-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 10 min → 5 min−$0.645 (1 at the bell)−$6.87eliminated
20BEcho · Top Caller · 20-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +1v3-g0005-p1-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min−$0.675 (1 at the bell)−$6.89eliminated
21BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p3-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 10m · 30m · 3h · 12hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$0.815 (1 at the bell)−$7.03eliminated
22BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h−$0.824 (1 at the bell)−$5.80eliminated
23BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +1v3-g0004-p2-m3 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.837 (1 at the bell)−$9.54eliminated
24BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0005-p4-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 20 min → every 10 min−$0.884 (1 at the bell)−$5.87eliminated
25BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24h−$0.896 (1 at the bell)−$8.35eliminated
26BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Eager · 5-min View +2v3-g0005-p5-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 10 min → 5 min−$0.911 (1 at the bell)−$5.88eliminated
27BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 20-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 10 min → 20 min−$0.973 (1 at the bell)−$4.71eliminated
28BEcho · Trend Rider · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0005-p4-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$1.012 (1 at the bell)−$3.50eliminated
29BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 10-min View +1v3-g0004-p2-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$1.085 (1 at the bell)−$7.30eliminated
30BEcho · Top Caller · Lean · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Careful → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.−$1.094 (1 at the bell)−$6.07eliminated
31BEcho · Tie Breaker · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0005-p1-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$1.105 (1 at the bell)−$7.32eliminated
32BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Careful · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$1.135 (1 at the bell)−$7.36eliminated
33BEcho · Tie Breaker · Careful · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p3-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$1.135 (1 at the bell)−$7.36eliminated
34BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 20-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m8 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 10 min → 20 min−$1.156 (1 at the bell)−$8.61eliminated
35BEcho · Top Caller · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Only +1v3-g0005-p1-m7 · up to 0.5xDecides: every 5 min → every 10 min−$1.413 (1 at the bell)−$8.87eliminated
36BEcho · Top Caller · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0004-p3-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$1.425 (1 at the bell)−$7.64eliminated
37BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p2-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$1.486 (1 at the bell)−$8.94eliminated
38BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eager · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$1.517 (1 at the bell)−$35.80eliminated
39BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 5-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 10 min → 5 min−$1.535 (1 at the bell)−$7.75eliminated
40BEcho · Top Caller · Lean · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +1v3-g0005-p1-m6 · up to 0.5xRisk stance: Even Keel → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.−$1.604 (1 at the bell)−$11.53eliminated
41BEcho · Wanderer · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0005-p1-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.−$1.642 (1 at the bell)−$11.56eliminated
42BEcho · Trend Rider · Eager · 10-min View +1v3-g0005-p2-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$1.974 (1 at the bell)−$21.71eliminated
43BEcho · Top Caller · Careful · 10-min View +2v3-g0005-p3-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 5 min → every 2 min−$2.5013 (1 at the bell)−$18.58eliminated
44BEcho · Top Caller · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2hv3-g0005-p1-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$2.709 (1 at the bell)−$13.86eliminated
45BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +2v3-g0005-p4-m1 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.−$11.742 (1 at the bell)−$40.89eliminated

Snapshot generated 2026-09-22 21:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest bc13b049… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.