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Round 16 · 07:00–08:00 UTC, 23 September 2026 · Completed

0 of 45 made money after fees.

Best after fees $0.00 by Echo · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1 (v3-g0016-p1-m7). 93 completed trades across the population, 44 closed by the bell, BTC/USD -0.36% over the round. 5 of the 5 survivors were born this round.

← Round 15Round 17 →

Survived

The five that went on

These became the unchanged parents of round 17.

  1. 1

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · Sees 15m/90m/6h/24h +2

    Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 minv3-g0016-p3-m5Born round 16 · mutant of v3-g0015-p1-m4
    Before fees
    +$5.87
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$8.87
    fees $14.74
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.59% of $1,000
    Tied · picked for varietyFirst selection
  2. 2

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2

    What it sees: 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24hv3-g0016-p3-m3Born round 16 · mutant of v3-g0015-p1-m4
    Before fees
    +$5.87
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$8.87
    fees $14.74
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.59% of $1,000
    Tied · picked for varietyFirst selection
  3. 3

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1

    What it sees: 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in wordsv3-g0016-p3-m4Born round 16 · mutant of v3-g0015-p1-m4
    Before fees
    +$5.74
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.15
    fees $14.88
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.57% of $1,000
    First selection
  4. 4

    BEcho · Wanderer · Eager · 30-min View +2

    Risk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.v3-g0016-p2-m6Born round 16 · mutant of v3-g0015-p1-m3
    Before fees
    +$5.74
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.17
    fees $14.91
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.57% of $1,000
    First selection
  5. 5

    BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 5m/45m/4h/24h +1

    Hypothesis: Wanderer → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.v3-g0016-p2-m2Born round 16 · mutant of v3-g0015-p1-m3
    Before fees
    +$5.73
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.14
    fees $14.88
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.57% of $1,000
    First selection

Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.

The duel

Parents against their mutants

BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1parent

v3-g0015-p1-m5 · ran unchanged in round 16 · eliminated this round
Wanderer · Bold · 10-min view · sees 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h · in words · every 10 min · no memory
Before fees
−$10.58
4 trades
After fees
−$67.98
fees $57.40
Exposure
up to 3.0x
of $1,000
−$10−$5$0+$5Parent −$10.58Mutant m6: −$11.59 before fees on 4 trades6Mutant m3: −$8.32 before fees on 3 trades3Mutant m4: −$8.32 before fees on 3 trades4Mutant m8: −$1.72 before fees on 1 trade8Mutant m2: −$1.14 before fees on 3 trades2Mutant m1: −$0.12 before fees on 3 trades1Mutant m7: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades7Mutant m5: +$3.47 before fees on 2 trades5better than parent →
−$10−$5$0+$5Parent −$10.58Mutant m6: −$11.59 before fees on 4 trades6Mutant m3: −$8.32 before fees on 3 trades3Mutant m4: −$8.32 before fees on 3 trades4Mutant m8: −$1.72 before fees on 1 trade8Mutant m2: −$1.14 before fees on 3 trades2Mutant m1: −$0.12 before fees on 3 trades1Mutant m7: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades7Mutant m5: +$3.47 before fees on 2 trades5better than parent →

Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 07:00–08:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.

6 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour, and 1 completed no trades, so they cannot be counted either way. Neither the parent nor any mutant survived.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
  1. m1
    Top CallerHypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$3.86
    −$0.12▲ +$10.46 vs parent
  2. m2
    Homing PigeonHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.5xafter fees −$6.12
    −$1.14▲ +$9.44 vs parent
  3. m3
    Numbers OnlyWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$51.74
    −$8.32▲ +$2.26 vs parent
  4. m4
    Sees 15m/90m/6h/24hWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$51.74
    −$8.32▲ +$2.26 vs parent
  5. m5
    15-min ViewForecast horizon: 10 min → 15 min
    2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$25.87
    +$3.47▲ +$14.05 vs parent
  6. m6
    LeanRisk stance: Bold → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.
    4 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$68.95
    −$11.59▼ −$1.01 vs parent
  7. m7
    Every 20 minDecides: every 10 min → every 20 min
    0 tradesafter fees $0.00
    $0.00no completed trades
  8. m8
    45-min ViewHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 10 min → 45 min
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.5xafter fees −$4.21
    −$1.72▲ +$8.86 vs parent
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 10 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts. Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.

Full record

All 45 traders

Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.

#TraderChange from parentBefore feesTradesAfter feesResult
1BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · Sees 15m/90m/6h/24h +2v3-g0016-p3-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$5.871 (1 at the bell)−$8.87survived
2BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p3-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h+$5.871 (1 at the bell)−$8.87survived
3BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p3-m4 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words+$5.741 (1 at the bell)−$9.15survived
4BEcho · Wanderer · Eager · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p2-m6 · up to 3.0xRisk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.+$5.741 (1 at the bell)−$9.17survived
5BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 5m/45m/4h/24h +1v3-g0016-p2-m2 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Wanderer → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.+$5.731 (1 at the bell)−$9.14survived
6BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0015-p1-m3 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged+$5.731 (1 at the bell)−$9.16eliminated
7BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p1-m4 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged+$5.731 (1 at the bell)−$9.16eliminated
8BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · Every 10 minv3-g0016-p1-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 10 min → 15 min+$3.472 (1 at the bell)−$25.87eliminated
9BEcho · Wanderer · Careful · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p3-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Bold → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.+$1.971 (1 at the bell)−$3.03eliminated
10BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p4-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h+$0.571 (1 at the bell)−$0.68eliminated
11BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p3-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.+$0.571 (1 at the bell)−$0.68eliminated
12BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p3-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.+$0.571 (1 at the bell)−$0.68eliminated
13BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p4-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only+$0.511 (1 at the bell)−$0.74eliminated
14BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 45-min View +1v3-g0016-p4-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min+$0.511 (1 at the bell)−$0.74eliminated
15BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 45-min View +3v3-g0016-p3-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min+$0.501 (1 at the bell)−$0.75eliminated
16BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · Every 10 minv3-g0016-p5-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$0.501 (1 at the bell)−$0.75eliminated
17BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p5-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 10 min → every 3 min+$0.471 (1 at the bell)−$0.78eliminated
18BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0016-p1-m7Decides: every 10 min → every 20 min$0.000$0.00eliminated
19BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p5-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h−$0.032 (1 at the bell)−$2.53eliminated
20BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0016-p1-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.123 (1 at the bell)−$3.86eliminated
21BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p5-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.−$0.123 (1 at the bell)−$3.86eliminated
22BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.503 (1 at the bell)−$4.24eliminated
23BEcho · Trend Rider · 30-min View · Every 10 minv3-g0016-p4-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Bold → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.−$0.693 (1 at the bell)−$4.43eliminated
24BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · Sees 5m/45m/4h/24h +1v3-g0016-p2-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min−$0.703 (1 at the bell)−$4.44eliminated
25BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m1 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.713 (1 at the bell)−$4.45eliminated
26BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p4-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Trend Rider → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$0.873 (1 at the bell)−$4.60eliminated
27BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p2-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$0.903 (1 at the bell)−$4.64eliminated
28BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · Every 10 minv3-g0016-p4-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Trend Rider → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min−$1.034 (1 at the bell)−$6.01eliminated
29BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p5-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$1.034 (1 at the bell)−$6.01eliminated
30BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0016-p1-m2 · up to 0.5xHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$1.143 (1 at the bell)−$6.12eliminated
31BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p4-m2 · up to 0.5xHypothesis: Trend Rider → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$1.694 (1 at the bell)−$11.62eliminated
32BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 45-min View +1v3-g0016-p1-m8 · up to 0.5xHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 10 min → 45 min−$1.721 (1 at the bell)−$4.21eliminated
33BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p5-m2 · up to 0.5xHypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$1.731 (1 at the bell)−$4.22eliminated
34BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p2-m7 · up to 3.0xDecides: every 10 min → every 2 min−$2.853 (1 at the bell)−$46.63eliminated
35BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0016-p4-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 10 min → every 30 min−$3.651 (1 at the bell)−$8.62eliminated
36BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 45-min View +1v3-g0016-p5-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min−$4.063 (1 at the bell)−$18.87eliminated
37BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Every 10 minv3-g0016-p5-m1 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.−$6.872 (1 at the bell)−$36.02eliminated
38BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +3v3-g0016-p1-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$8.323 (1 at the bell)−$51.74eliminated
39BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +2v3-g0016-p1-m4 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h−$8.323 (1 at the bell)−$51.74eliminated
40BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p2-m4 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h → 10m · 1h · 3h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$9.313 (1 at the bell)−$52.70eliminated
41BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 45-min View +2v3-g0016-p2-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min−$9.313 (1 at the bell)−$52.70eliminated
42BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0016-p3-m7 · up to 3.0xDecides: every 10 min → every 15 min−$9.661 (1 at the bell)−$24.39eliminated
43BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m5 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged−$10.584 (1 at the bell)−$67.98eliminated
44BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 10-min View +1v3-g0016-p1-m6 · up to 3.0xRisk stance: Bold → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.−$11.594 (1 at the bell)−$68.95eliminated
45BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0016-p2-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h → 1m · 10m · 1h · 6h−$12.042 (1 at the bell)−$41.27eliminated

Snapshot generated 2026-09-23 08:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest d36d3ffb… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.