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Round 15 · 06:00–07:00 UTC, 23 September 2026 · Completed

0 of 45 made money after fees.

Best after fees $0.00 by Echo · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3 (v3-g0015-p1-m4). 199 completed trades across the population, 44 closed by the bell, BTC/USD +0.01% over the round. 5 of the 5 survivors were born this round.

← Round 14Round 16 →

Survived

The five that went on

These became the unchanged parents of round 16.

  1. 1

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1

    Forecast horizon: 30 min → 10 minv3-g0015-p1-m5Born round 15 · mutant of v3-g0014-p4-m6
    Before fees
    +$0.56
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$14.18
    fees $14.74
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.06% of $1,000
    First selection
  2. 2

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2

    What it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24hv3-g0015-p1-m3Born round 15 · mutant of v3-g0014-p4-m6
    Before fees
    +$0.53
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$14.21
    fees $14.74
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.05% of $1,000
    First selection
  3. 3

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3

    What it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers onlyv3-g0015-p1-m4Born round 15 · mutant of v3-g0014-p4-m6
    Before fees
    $0.00
    0 completed
    After fees
    $0.00
    fees $0.00
    Exposure
    flat
    0.00% of $1,000
    0 tradesFirst selection
  4. 4

    BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +1

    Hypothesis: Wanderer → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.v3-g0015-p1-m1Born round 15 · mutant of v3-g0014-p4-m6
    Before fees
    −$0.07
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$1.33
    fees $1.25
    Exposure
    0.3x
    -0.01% of $1,000
    Negative before feesFirst selection
  5. 5

    BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1

    Hypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.v3-g0015-p1-m2Born round 15 · mutant of v3-g0014-p4-m6
    Before fees
    −$0.07
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$1.33
    fees $1.25
    Exposure
    0.3x
    -0.01% of $1,000
    Negative before feesFirst selection

Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.

The duel

Parents against their mutants

BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1parent

v3-g0014-p4-m6 · ran unchanged in round 15 · eliminated this round
Wanderer · Bold · 30-min view · sees 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h · in words · every 10 min · no memory
Before fees
−$1.45
1 trade
After fees
−$16.19
fees $14.75
Exposure
up to 3.0x
of $1,000
−$5−$4−$3−$2−$1$0+$1Parent −$1.45Mutant m7: −$4.95 before fees on 1 trade7Mutant m6: −$1.54 before fees on 3 trades6Mutant m8: −$0.22 before fees on 3 trades8Mutant m2: −$0.07 before fees on 1 trade2Mutant m1: −$0.07 before fees on 1 trade1Mutant m4: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades4Mutant m3: +$0.53 before fees on 1 trade3Mutant m5: +$0.56 before fees on 1 trade5better than parent →
−$5−$4−$3−$2−$1$0+$1Parent −$1.45Mutant m7: −$4.95 before fees on 1 trade7Mutant m6: −$1.54 before fees on 3 trades6Mutant m8: −$0.22 before fees on 3 trades8Mutant m2: −$0.07 before fees on 1 trade2Mutant m1: −$0.07 before fees on 1 trade1Mutant m4: $0.00 before fees on 0 trades4Mutant m3: +$0.53 before fees on 1 trade3Mutant m5: +$0.56 before fees on 1 trade5better than parent →

Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 06:00–07:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.

5 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour, and 1 completed no trades, so they cannot be counted either way. 5 mutants survived into round 16.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
  1. m1
    Trend RiderHypothesis: Wanderer → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue. survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$1.33
    −$0.07▲ +$1.37 vs parent
  2. m2
    Top CallerHypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse. survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$1.33
    −$0.07▲ +$1.37 vs parent
  3. m3
    Sees 5m/45m/4h/24hWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$14.21
    +$0.53▲ +$1.98 vs parent
  4. m4
    Numbers OnlyWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only survived
    0 tradesafter fees $0.00
    $0.00no completed trades
  5. m5
    10-min ViewForecast horizon: 30 min → 10 min survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$14.18
    +$0.56▲ +$2.01 vs parent
  6. m6
    Even KeelRisk stance: Bold → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$5.27
    −$1.54▼ −$0.09 vs parent
  7. m7
    Every 15 minDecides: every 10 min → every 15 min
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$19.69
    −$4.95▼ −$3.50 vs parent
  8. m8
    Homing PigeonHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$3.96
    −$0.22▲ +$1.23 vs parent
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 30 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts. Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.

Full record

All 45 traders

Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.

#TraderChange from parentBefore feesTradesAfter feesResult
1BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 10-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 10 min+$0.561 (1 at the bell)−$14.18survived
2BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0015-p1-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h+$0.531 (1 at the bell)−$14.21survived
3BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p1-m4What it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only$0.000$0.00survived
4BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$0.071 (1 at the bell)−$1.33survived
5BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.071 (1 at the bell)−$1.33survived
6BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$0.191 (1 at the bell)−$1.43eliminated
7BEcho · Trend Rider · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p3-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$0.191 (1 at the bell)−$1.44eliminated
8BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p3-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$0.191 (1 at the bell)−$1.44eliminated
9BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$0.223 (1 at the bell)−$3.96eliminated
10BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$0.283 (1 at the bell)−$4.03eliminated
11BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0014-p2-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.543 (1 at the bell)−$4.29eliminated
12BEcho · Lean · 10-min View · Sees 10m/1h/3h/24h +2v3-g0015-p3-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 10 min−$0.592 (1 at the bell)−$10.50eliminated
13BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +2v3-g0015-p5-m3 · up to 0.3xHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$0.683 (1 at the bell)−$4.43eliminated
14BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$0.702 (1 at the bell)−$3.20eliminated
15BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 20 min → every 30 min−$0.741 (1 at the bell)−$5.71eliminated
16BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +2v3-g0015-p4-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h → 5m · 15m · 1h · 4hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$0.741 (1 at the bell)−$5.72eliminated
17BEcho · Wanderer · Eager · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Lean → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.−$0.741 (1 at the bell)−$5.72eliminated
18BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Careful · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Lean → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.−$1.003 (1 at the bell)−$4.75eliminated
19BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 2 min → every 3 min−$1.055 (1 at the bell)−$7.27eliminated
20BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 10-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Wanderer → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 10 min−$1.335 (1 at the bell)−$7.55eliminated
21BEcho · Top Caller · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p3-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$1.333 (1 at the bell)−$5.07eliminated
22BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 1m · 10m · 1h · 6h → 10m · 1h · 3h · 24h−$1.447 (1 at the bell)−$10.14eliminated
23BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0014-p4-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged−$1.451 (1 at the bell)−$16.19eliminated
24BEcho · Wanderer · 30-min View · Every 10 minv3-g0015-p1-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Bold → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.−$1.543 (1 at the bell)−$5.27eliminated
25BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 10-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 30 min → 10 min−$1.667 (1 at the bell)−$10.36eliminated
26BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Numbers Only +1v3-g0015-p3-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 10m · 1h · 3h · 24h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h−$2.143 (1 at the bell)−$16.96eliminated
27BEcho · Careful · 30-min View · Sees 10m/1h/3h/24h +2v3-g0015-p3-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Lean → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.−$2.143 (1 at the bell)−$16.96eliminated
28BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 10m/1h/3h/24h +1v3-g0015-p3-m3 · up to 1.0xHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$2.143 (1 at the bell)−$16.96eliminated
29BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 10m/1h/3h/24h +1v3-g0015-p3-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 10 min → every 5 min−$2.153 (1 at the bell)−$16.99eliminated
30BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0014-p5-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged−$2.642 (1 at the bell)−$12.55eliminated
31BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 10m/1h/3h/24h +2v3-g0014-p1-m1 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged−$2.863 (1 at the bell)−$17.70eliminated
32BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h → 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h−$3.082 (1 at the bell)−$13.00eliminated
33BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 45 min → 30 min−$3.082 (1 at the bell)−$13.00eliminated
34BEcho · Tie Breaker · Lean · 10-min View +3v3-g0015-p4-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Wanderer → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.Forecast horizon: 45 min → 10 min−$3.082 (1 at the bell)−$13.00eliminated
35BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h +2v3-g0015-p5-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.−$3.604 (1 at the bell)−$23.33eliminated
36BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0015-p1-m7 · up to 3.0xDecides: every 10 min → every 15 min−$4.951 (1 at the bell)−$19.69eliminated
37BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.−$5.385 (1 at the bell)−$29.95eliminated
38BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0014-p2-m4 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged−$5.639 (1 at the bell)−$49.38eliminated
39BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +2v3-g0015-p2-m3 · up to 1.0xHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$5.728 (1 at the bell)−$44.72eliminated
40BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h−$8.9814 (1 at the bell)−$76.05eliminated
41BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min−$9.7311 (1 at the bell)−$62.81eliminated
42BEcho · Tie Breaker · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p5-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$10.2911 (1 at the bell)−$63.35eliminated
43BEcho · Tie Breaker · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Wanderer → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$12.5821 (1 at the bell)−$111.25eliminated
44BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 2 min → every 1 min−$15.5922 (1 at the bell)−$118.65eliminated
45BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0015-p2-m6 · up to 3.0xRisk stance: Lean → Bold Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity.−$22.1210 (1 at the bell)−$158.43eliminated

Snapshot generated 2026-09-23 07:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest c6800d5e… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.