← Back to the dish
Round 31 · 22:00–23:00 UTC, 23 September 2026 · Completed
0 of 45 made money after fees.
Best after fees $0.00 by Echo · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3 (v3-g0031-p3-m1). 93 completed trades across the population, 34 closed by the bell, BTC/USD +0.16% over the round. 4 of the 5 survivors were born this round.
Survived
The five that went on
These became the unchanged parents of round 32.
- 1
BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +3
Hypothesis: Open Book → Homing PigeonEvaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
Before fees+$1.184 completed · 1 at the bellAfter fees−$3.81fees $4.99Exposure0.3x0.12% of $1,000First selection - 2
BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +2
Decides: every 30 min → every 5 minBefore fees+$1.174 completed · 1 at the bellAfter fees−$3.82fees $4.99Exposure0.3x0.12% of $1,000First selection - 3
BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +3
Hypothesis: Open Book → Homing PigeonEvaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
Before fees+$0.271 completed · 1 at the bellAfter fees−$0.97fees $1.25Exposure0.3x0.03% of $1,000Survived 2 in a row - 4
BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 5-min View +3
Hypothesis: Top Caller → Homing PigeonEvaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
Before fees+$0.251 completed · 1 at the bellAfter fees−$1.00fees $1.25Exposure0.3x0.02% of $1,000First selection - 5
BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +2
What it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 10m · 30m · 3h · 12hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in wordsBefore fees+$0.211 completed · 1 at the bellAfter fees−$2.29fees $2.49Exposure0.5x0.02% of $1,000First selection
Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.
The duel
Parents against their mutants
BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2parent
Before fees
−$21.45
3 trades
After fees
−$64.61
fees $43.17
Exposure
up to 3.0x
of $1,000
Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 22:00–23:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.
8 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour. 1 mutant survived into round 32.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
- m1Homing PigeonHypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon
Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
survived4 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$3.81+$1.18▲ +$22.62 vs parent - m2Breakout ChaserHypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser
Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.
2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$10.12−$3.92▲ +$17.53 vs parent - m3In WordsWhat it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 5m · 1h · 4h · 12hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$57.49−$14.26▲ +$7.19 vs parent
- m4Sees 30m/2h/12h/24hWhat it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24h1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$19.98−$5.17▲ +$16.28 vs parent
- m545-min ViewForecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$57.49−$14.26▲ +$7.19 vs parent
- m6LeanRisk stance: Bold → Lean
Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.
2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$15.49−$5.59▲ +$15.86 vs parent - m7Every 15 minDecides: every 10 min → every 15 min1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$21.45−$6.69▲ +$14.76 vs parent
- m815-min ViewHypothesis: Open Book → Wanderer
Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.
Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$63.39−$20.18▲ +$1.27 vs parent
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 30 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements. Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.
Full record
All 45 traders
Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.
| # | Trader | Change from parent | Before fees | Trades | After fees | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p1-m1 · up to 0.3x | Hypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre. | +$1.18 | 4 (1 at the bell) | −$3.81 | survived |
| 2 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0031-p3-m7 · up to 0.3x | Decides: every 30 min → every 5 min | +$1.17 | 4 (1 at the bell) | −$3.82 | survived |
| 3 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0030-p1-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3x | unchanged | +$0.27 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$0.97 | survived |
| 4 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 5-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m2 · up to 0.3x | Hypothesis: Top Caller → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre. | +$0.25 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$1.00 | survived |
| 5 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0031-p3-m3 · up to 0.5x | What it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 10m · 30m · 3h · 12hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words | +$0.21 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$2.29 | survived |
| 6 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 5-min View +3v3-g0030-p3-m1 · parent, unchanged | unchanged | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 7 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p3-m1 | Hypothesis: Homing Pigeon → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse. | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 8 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p3-m4 | What it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 9 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Bold · 45-min View +3v3-g0031-p3-m5 | Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 10 | BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 5-min View +2v3-g0031-p4-m1 | Hypothesis: Open Book → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements. | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 11 | BEcho · Bold · 5-min View · Sees 15m/90m/6h/24h +2v3-g0031-p4-m3 | What it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 12 | BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 5-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m1 | Hypothesis: Top Caller → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue. | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 13 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 5-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m4 | What it sees: 10m · 30m · 3h · 12h → 10m · 1h · 3h · 24h | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 14 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 45-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m5 | Forecast horizon: 5 min → 45 min | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 15 | BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 5-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m6 | Risk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities. | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 16 | BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · Sees 10m/30m/3h/12h +2v3-g0031-p5-m8 | Hypothesis: Top Caller → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.Forecast horizon: 5 min → 15 min | $0.00 | 0 | $0.00 | eliminated |
| 17 | BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p3-m2 · up to 0.3x | Hypothesis: Homing Pigeon → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist. | −$0.43 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$1.68 | eliminated |
| 18 | BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Careful · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p3-m6 · up to 0.3x | Risk stance: Bold → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital. | −$0.43 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$1.68 | eliminated |
| 19 | BEcho · 5-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Every 30 minv3-g0031-p4-m6 · up to 0.3x | Risk stance: Bold → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure. | −$0.57 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$1.82 | eliminated |
| 20 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 5-min View +2v3-g0031-p5-m3 · up to 0.3x | What it sees: 10m · 30m · 3h · 12h → 1m · 10m · 1h · 6hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words | −$0.57 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$1.82 | eliminated |
| 21 | BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 5-min View +3v3-g0031-p5-m7 · up to 0.3x | Decides: every 30 min → every 2 min | −$0.84 | 7 (1 at the bell) | −$9.54 | eliminated |
| 22 | BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 10m/30m/3h/12h +2v3-g0031-p2-m1 · up to 1.0x | Hypothesis: Wanderer → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements. | −$3.06 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$27.64 | eliminated |
| 23 | BEcho · Bold · 5-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h +1v3-g0031-p4-m7 · up to 3.0x | Decides: every 30 min → every 20 min | −$3.73 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$18.47 | eliminated |
| 24 | BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p1-m2 · up to 1.0x | Hypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist. | −$3.92 | 2 (1 at the bell) | −$10.12 | eliminated |
| 25 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0030-p5-m7 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0x | unchanged | −$4.70 | 7 (1 at the bell) | −$38.91 | eliminated |
| 26 | BEcho · Bold · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h · Numbers Only +1v3-g0031-p3-m8 · up to 3.0x | Hypothesis: Homing Pigeon → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min | −$5.10 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$19.85 | eliminated |
| 27 | BEcho · Trend Rider · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p2-m2 · up to 1.0x | Hypothesis: Wanderer → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue. | −$5.17 | 3 (1 at the bell) | −$19.98 | eliminated |
| 28 | BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 30m/2h/12h/24h +2v3-g0031-p1-m4 · up to 3.0x | What it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24h | −$5.17 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$19.98 | eliminated |
| 29 | BEcho · Lean · 30-min View · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2v3-g0031-p1-m6 · up to 1.0x | Risk stance: Bold → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed. | −$5.59 | 2 (1 at the bell) | −$15.49 | eliminated |
| 30 | BEcho · Bold · 5-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h +1v3-g0030-p2-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0x | unchanged | −$6.68 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.44 | eliminated |
| 31 | BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 5-min View +2v3-g0031-p4-m2 · up to 3.0x | Hypothesis: Open Book → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts. | −$6.68 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.44 | eliminated |
| 32 | BEcho · Bold · 5-min View · Sees 15m/90m/6h/24h +1v3-g0031-p4-m4 · up to 3.0x | What it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 90m · 6h · 24h | −$6.68 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.44 | eliminated |
| 33 | BEcho · Bold · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Every 30 minv3-g0031-p4-m5 · up to 3.0x | Forecast horizon: 5 min → 15 min | −$6.68 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.44 | eliminated |
| 34 | BEcho · Bold · 45-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h +1v3-g0031-p4-m8 · up to 3.0x | Forecast horizon: 5 min → 45 min | −$6.68 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.44 | eliminated |
| 35 | BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2v3-g0031-p1-m7 · up to 3.0x | Decides: every 10 min → every 15 min | −$6.69 | 1 (1 at the bell) | −$21.45 | eliminated |
| 36 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +2v3-g0031-p2-m4 · up to 3.0x | What it sees: 10m · 30m · 3h · 12h → 1m · 15m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words | −$7.37 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$78.81 | eliminated |
| 37 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 45-min View +3v3-g0031-p2-m8 · up to 3.0x | Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min | −$11.54 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$82.75 | eliminated |
| 38 | BEcho · Wanderer · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p2-m6 · up to 3.0x | Risk stance: Lean → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities. | −$13.28 | 6 (1 at the bell) | −$98.24 | eliminated |
| 39 | BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h +1v3-g0031-p1-m3 · up to 3.0x | What it sees: 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h → 5m · 1h · 4h · 12hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words | −$14.26 | 3 (1 at the bell) | −$57.49 | eliminated |
| 40 | BEcho · Bold · 45-min View · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2v3-g0031-p1-m5 · up to 3.0x | Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min | −$14.26 | 3 (1 at the bell) | −$57.49 | eliminated |
| 41 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · Sees 10m/30m/3h/12h +2v3-g0031-p2-m5 · up to 3.0x | Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min | −$16.59 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$87.48 | eliminated |
| 42 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p2-m3 · up to 3.0x | What it sees: 10m · 30m · 3h · 12h → 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h | −$17.41 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$88.28 | eliminated |
| 43 | BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · 30-min View +3v3-g0031-p2-m7 · up to 3.0x | Decides: every 1 min → every 2 min | −$19.47 | 5 (1 at the bell) | −$90.22 | eliminated |
| 44 | BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2v3-g0031-p1-m8 · up to 3.0x | Hypothesis: Open Book → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min | −$20.18 | 3 (1 at the bell) | −$63.39 | eliminated |
| 45 | BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2h +2v3-g0030-p1-m7 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0x | unchanged | −$21.45 | 3 (1 at the bell) | −$64.61 | eliminated |
Snapshot generated 2026-09-23 23:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest 4b4d1d78… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.