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Round 22 · 13:00–14:00 UTC, 23 September 2026 · Completed

0 of 45 made money after fees.

Best after fees −$0.41 by Echo · Tie Breaker · Lean · 20-min View +1 (v3-g0022-p4-m2). 67 completed trades across the population, 45 closed by the bell, BTC/USD +0.33% over the round. 5 of the 5 survivors were born this round.

← Round 21Round 23 →

Survived

The five that went on

These became the unchanged parents of round 23.

  1. 1

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 45-min View +1

    Hypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 minv3-g0022-p5-m8Born round 22 · mutant of v3-g0021-p2-m2
    Before fees
    +$10.40
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$4.38
    fees $14.78
    Exposure
    3.0x
    1.04% of $1,000
    First selection
  2. 2

    BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · Every 15 min

    Hypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.Forecast horizon: 20 min → 15 minv3-g0022-p4-m8Born round 22 · mutant of v3-g0021-p1-m6
    Before fees
    +$9.82
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$5.00
    fees $14.82
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.98% of $1,000
    First selection
  3. 3

    BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 5m/15m/1h/4h +2

    Hypothesis: Top Caller → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.v3-g0022-p3-m1Born round 22 · mutant of v3-g0021-p2-m3
    Before fees
    +$8.86
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$5.91
    fees $14.77
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.89% of $1,000
    First selection
  4. 4

    BEcho · Eager · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h · Numbers Only +1

    Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 minv3-g0022-p1-m5Born round 22 · mutant of v3-g0021-p4-m3
    Before fees
    +$8.70
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$6.15
    fees $14.86
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.87% of $1,000
    Tied · picked for varietyFirst selection
  5. 5

    BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1

    Hypothesis: Top Caller → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.v3-g0022-p2-m2Born round 22 · mutant of v3-g0020-p4-m2
    Before fees
    +$8.70
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$6.15
    fees $14.86
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.87% of $1,000
    Tied · picked for varietyFirst selection

Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.

The duel

Parents against their mutants

BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h +2parent

v3-g0021-p4-m3 · ran unchanged in round 22 · eliminated this round
Open Book · Eager · 30-min view · sees 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h · numbers only · every 15 min · no memory
Before fees
+$8.67
1 trade
After fees
−$6.21
fees $14.88
Exposure
up to 3.0x
of $1,000
−$5$0+$5+$10Parent +$8.67Mutant m3: −$5.73 before fees on 3 trades3Mutant m4: −$3.05 before fees on 3 trades4Mutant m2: −$0.01 before fees on 2 trades2Mutant m1: +$1.74 before fees on 1 trade1Mutant m6: +$2.16 before fees on 1 trade6Mutant m8: +$2.16 before fees on 1 trade8Mutant m7: +$8.69 before fees on 1 trade7Mutant m5: +$8.70 before fees on 1 trade5better than parent →
−$5$0+$5+$10Parent +$8.67Mutant m3: −$5.73 before fees on 3 trades3Mutant m4: −$3.05 before fees on 3 trades4Mutant m2: −$0.01 before fees on 2 trades2Mutant m1: +$1.74 before fees on 1 trade1Mutant m6: +$2.16 before fees on 1 trade6Mutant m8: +$2.16 before fees on 1 trade8Mutant m7: +$8.69 before fees on 1 trade7Mutant m5: +$8.70 before fees on 1 trade5better than parent →

Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 13:00–14:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.

2 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour. 1 mutant survived into round 23.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
  1. m1
    Trend RiderHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$3.24
    +$1.74▼ −$6.93 vs parent
  2. m2
    Top CallerHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.
    2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$9.95
    −$0.01▼ −$8.68 vs parent
  3. m3
    Sees 5m/30m/2h/24hWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$49.10
    −$5.73▼ −$14.40 vs parent
  4. m4
    In WordsWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$46.48
    −$3.05▼ −$11.72 vs parent
  5. m5
    15-min ViewForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$6.15
    +$8.70▲ +$0.03 vs parent
  6. m6
    CarefulRisk stance: Eager → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$2.82
    +$2.16▼ −$6.51 vs parent
  7. m7
    Every 10 minDecides: every 15 min → every 10 min
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$6.19
    +$8.69▲ +$0.02 vs parent
  8. m8
    45-min ViewHypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$2.82
    +$2.16▼ −$6.51 vs parent
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 30 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements. Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.

Full record

All 45 traders

Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.

#TraderChange from parentBefore feesTradesAfter feesResult
1BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 45-min View +1v3-g0022-p5-m8 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min+$10.401 (1 at the bell)−$4.38survived
2BEcho · Wanderer · Lean · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p4-m8 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.Forecast horizon: 20 min → 15 min+$9.821 (1 at the bell)−$5.00survived
3BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Sees 5m/15m/1h/4h +2v3-g0022-p3-m1 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.+$8.861 (1 at the bell)−$5.91survived
4BEcho · Eager · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h · Numbers Only +1v3-g0022-p1-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$8.701 (1 at the bell)−$6.15survived
5BEcho · Wanderer · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p2-m2 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.+$8.701 (1 at the bell)−$6.15survived
6BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h +2v3-g0022-p1-m7 · up to 3.0xDecides: every 15 min → every 10 min+$8.691 (1 at the bell)−$6.19eliminated
7BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h +2v3-g0021-p4-m3 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged+$8.671 (1 at the bell)−$6.21eliminated
8BEcho · Bold · 30-min View · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p5-m1 · up to 3.0xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Open Book Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements.+$5.151 (1 at the bell)−$9.62eliminated
9BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 20-min View +2v3-g0022-p4-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h+$2.221 (1 at the bell)−$2.76eliminated
10BEcho · Careful · 30-min View · Sees 5m/1h/4h/12h +2v3-g0022-p1-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Eager → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.+$2.161 (1 at the bell)−$2.82eliminated
11BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Eager · 45-min View +3v3-g0022-p1-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min+$2.161 (1 at the bell)−$2.82eliminated
12BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 20-min View +1v3-g0021-p1-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
13BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0021-p2-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
14BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Careful · 20-min View +1v3-g0022-p4-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Lean → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
15BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p5-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 1m · 15m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
16BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p5-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
17BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0022-p5-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
18BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Eager · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p5-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
19BEcho · Trend Rider · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p1-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.+$1.741 (1 at the bell)−$3.24eliminated
20BEcho · Tie Breaker · Lean · 20-min View +1v3-g0022-p4-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.+$0.841 (1 at the bell)−$0.41eliminated
21BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p5-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.+$0.841 (1 at the bell)−$0.41eliminated
22BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 45-min View +3v3-g0022-p3-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min+$0.841 (1 at the bell)−$0.41eliminated
23BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p2-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.+$0.751 (1 at the bell)−$0.50eliminated
24BEcho · Tie Breaker · Bold · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p2-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Top Caller → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.Forecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$0.751 (1 at the bell)−$0.50eliminated
25BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p2-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 15 min → every 30 min+$0.561 (1 at the bell)−$0.69eliminated
26BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0020-p4-m2 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged+$0.441 (1 at the bell)−$0.81eliminated
27BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · Sees 5m/15m/1h/4h +2v3-g0022-p3-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 30 min → 15 min+$0.392 (1 at the bell)−$2.11eliminated
28BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p3-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Bold → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.+$0.392 (1 at the bell)−$2.11eliminated
29BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Lean · 20-min View +1v3-g0022-p4-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Breakout Chaser → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.+$0.122 (1 at the bell)−$2.38eliminated
30BEcho · Top Caller · 30-min View · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p2-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Bold → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.+$0.072 (1 at the bell)−$2.43eliminated
31BEcho · Top Caller · Eager · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p1-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.012 (1 at the bell)−$9.95eliminated
32BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0021-p2-m3 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged−$0.032 (1 at the bell)−$2.53eliminated
33BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 20-min View +3v3-g0022-p4-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$0.071 (1 at the bell)−$5.05eliminated
34BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 45-min View +1v3-g0022-p4-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 20 min → 45 min−$0.071 (1 at the bell)−$5.05eliminated
35BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Bold · 30-min View +1v3-g0022-p5-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 15 min → every 1 min−$0.094 (1 at the bell)−$5.09eliminated
36BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p2-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$0.243 (1 at the bell)−$3.99eliminated
37BEcho · Breakout Chaser · Lean · 20-min View +1v3-g0022-p4-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 15 min → every 20 min−$0.391 (1 at the bell)−$5.36eliminated
38BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p3-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 15 min → every 3 min−$0.414 (1 at the bell)−$5.40eliminated
39BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p3-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h−$0.461 (1 at the bell)−$1.71eliminated
40BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0022-p2-m3 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h−$0.713 (1 at the bell)−$4.45eliminated
41BEcho · Trend Rider · Bold · 30-min View +3v3-g0022-p3-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Top Caller → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$0.783 (1 at the bell)−$15.61eliminated
42BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 45-min View +1v3-g0022-p2-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 30 min → 45 min−$1.181 (1 at the bell)−$2.43eliminated
43BEcho · Top Caller · Bold · 30-min View +2v3-g0022-p3-m4 · up to 0.3xWhat it sees: 5m · 15m · 1h · 4h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$1.181 (1 at the bell)−$2.43eliminated
44BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Every 15 minv3-g0022-p1-m4 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$3.053 (1 at the bell)−$46.48eliminated
45BEcho · Eager · 30-min View · Numbers Only +1v3-g0022-p1-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h−$5.733 (1 at the bell)−$49.10eliminated

Snapshot generated 2026-09-23 14:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest 4c79057b… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.