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Round 2 · 17:00–18:00 UTC, 22 September 2026 · Completed

0 of 45 made money after fees.

Best after fees −$0.80 by Pacer · Wanderer · Lean (v3-g0002-p2-m2). 124 completed trades across the population, 45 closed by the bell, BTC/USD +0.27% over the round. 4 of the 5 survivors were born this round.

Survived

The five that went on

These became the unchanged parents of round 3.

  1. 1

    BEcho · Eager · Every 1 min

    Decides: every 5 min → every 1 minv3-g0002-p1-m7Born round 2 · mutant of v3-g0001-p2-m6
    Before fees
    +$5.25
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.80
    fees $15.04
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.52% of $1,000
    First selection
  2. 2

    BEcho · Eager · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h

    What it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hv3-g0002-p1-m4Born round 2 · mutant of v3-g0001-p2-m6
    Before fees
    +$5.09
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.72
    fees $14.81
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.51% of $1,000
    First selection
  3. 3

    BEcho · Eager · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Only

    What it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers onlyv3-g0002-p1-m3Born round 2 · mutant of v3-g0001-p2-m6
    Before fees
    +$5.08
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.73
    fees $14.81
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.51% of $1,000
    First selection
  4. 4

    BEcho · Eager

    Risk stance: Even Keel → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.v3-g0001-p2-m6Born round 1 · mutant of v3-g0001-parent-2
    Before fees
    +$5.08
    1 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$9.74
    fees $14.81
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.51% of $1,000
    Survived 2 in a row
  5. 5

    BEcho · Eager · 5-min View

    Forecast horizon: 15 min → 5 minv3-g0002-p1-m5Born round 2 · mutant of v3-g0001-p2-m6
    Before fees
    +$2.19
    2 completed · 1 at the bell
    After fees
    −$13.77
    fees $15.97
    Exposure
    3.0x
    0.22% of $1,000
    First selection

Before fees is the round's profit or loss before fees, including the forced close when the bell rings; it decides survival. After fees is the real simulated ledger. Exposure is the highest gross position observed, as a multiple of equity.

The duel

Parents against their mutants

BEcho · Eagerparent

v3-g0001-p2-m6 · ran unchanged in round 2 · survived again
Open Book · Eager · 15-min view · sees 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h · in words · every 5 min · no memory
Before fees
+$5.08
1 trade
After fees
−$9.74
fees $14.81
Exposure
up to 3.0x
of $1,000
−$2$0+$2+$4+$6Parent +$5.08Mutant m6: −$1.97 before fees on 3 trades6Mutant m8: −$1.15 before fees on 3 trades8Mutant m2: −$1.01 before fees on 5 trades2Mutant m1: −$0.51 before fees on 3 trades1Mutant m5: +$2.19 before fees on 2 trades5Mutant m3: +$5.08 before fees on 1 trade3Mutant m4: +$5.09 before fees on 1 trade4Mutant m7: +$5.25 before fees on 1 trade7better than parent →
−$2$0+$2+$4+$6Parent +$5.08Mutant m6: −$1.97 before fees on 3 trades6Mutant m8: −$1.15 before fees on 3 trades8Mutant m2: −$1.01 before fees on 5 trades2Mutant m1: −$0.51 before fees on 3 trades1Mutant m5: +$2.19 before fees on 2 trades5Mutant m3: +$5.08 before fees on 1 trade3Mutant m4: +$5.09 before fees on 1 trade4Mutant m7: +$5.25 before fees on 1 trade7better than parent →

Before-fee result of each mutant (numbered dots) against the parent (gold line), 17:00–18:00 UTC. Filled dots beat the parent, hollow did not, dashed completed no trades.

3 of 8 mutants did better before fees than their unchanged parent in the same hour. 4 mutants survived into round 3, alongside the parent.One hour is one observation. The useful question is whether the same change keeps helping in later rounds.
  1. m1
    Top CallerHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$4.25
    −$0.51▼ −$5.58 vs parent
  2. m2
    Homing PigeonHypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.
    5 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 0.3xafter fees −$7.24
    −$1.01▼ −$6.09 vs parent
  3. m3
    Numbers OnlyWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$9.73
    +$5.08▲ +$0.00 vs parent
  4. m4
    Sees 15m/1h/6h/24hWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$9.72
    +$5.09▲ +$0.01 vs parent
  5. m5
    5-min ViewForecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min survived
    2 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$13.77
    +$2.19▼ −$2.88 vs parent
  6. m6
    CarefulRisk stance: Eager → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$16.80
    −$1.97▼ −$7.05 vs parent
  7. m7
    Every 1 minDecides: every 5 min → every 1 min survived
    1 trade · 1 closed at the bell · up to 3.0xafter fees −$9.80
    +$5.25▲ +$0.17 vs parent
  8. m8
    20-min ViewHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.Forecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min
    3 trades · 1 closed at the bell · up to 1.0xafter fees −$15.98
    −$1.15▼ −$6.22 vs parent
The parent's full instruction
Rendered from the parent's inherited traits. A mutant changes one of them; its before and after are shown above.Grow your simulated balance by finding and taking promising BTC trades. Choose the BTC position direction for the best before-fee portfolio return over the next 15 minutes, using the supplied facts, portfolio and experiences. Find trading opportunities in the supplied price movements. Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities. Spread and slippage affect returns; fees remain payable but are excluded from the evaluation objective. The forecast horizon is not a required holding time.

Full record

All 45 traders

Ranked before fees. Eliminated traders are retained here permanently.

#TraderChange from parentBefore feesTradesAfter feesResult
1BEcho · Eager · Every 1 minv3-g0002-p1-m7 · up to 3.0xDecides: every 5 min → every 1 min+$5.251 (1 at the bell)−$9.80survived
2BEcho · Eager · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24hv3-g0002-p1-m4 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24h+$5.091 (1 at the bell)−$9.72survived
3BEcho · Eager · Sees 15m/1h/6h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p1-m3 · up to 3.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 30m · 2h · 24h → 15m · 1h · 6h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only+$5.081 (1 at the bell)−$9.73survived
4BEcho · Eagerv3-g0001-p2-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 3.0xunchanged+$5.081 (1 at the bell)−$9.74survived
5BEcho · Eager · 5-min Viewv3-g0002-p1-m5 · up to 3.0xForecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min+$2.192 (1 at the bell)−$13.77survived
6DPacer · Eager · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p5-m6 · up to 3.0xRisk stance: Even Keel → Eager Prioritize identifying and acting on the supplied trading opportunities.+$1.881 (1 at the bell)−$12.93eliminated
7DPacer · Lean · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p4-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Even Keel → Lean Evaluate the return opportunity relative to the amount of capital exposed.+$1.863 (1 at the bell)−$12.99eliminated
8DPacer · Lean · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p2-m4 · up to 1.0xHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only+$1.821 (1 at the bell)−$3.16eliminated
9DPacer · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0001-p4-m4 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged+$1.731 (1 at the bell)−$3.25eliminated
10DPacer · 20-min View · Sees 5m/45m/4h/24hv3-g0002-p5-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24h+$1.521 (1 at the bell)−$3.46eliminated
11DPacer · 20-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p4-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min+$1.521 (1 at the bell)−$3.46eliminated
12DPacer · Wanderer · Leanv3-g0002-p2-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Wanderer Seek trading opportunities across the different supplied market contexts.+$0.461 (1 at the bell)−$0.80eliminated
13DPacer · Leanv3-g0001-p4-m6 · parent, unchanged · up to 0.3xunchanged+$0.431 (1 at the bell)−$0.82eliminated
14DPacer · 5-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min+$0.253 (1 at the bell)−$14.58eliminated
15DPacer · Homing Pigeon · 5-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h +1v3-g0002-p4-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.Forecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min+$0.183 (1 at the bell)−$3.56eliminated
16DPacer · Lean · Every 10 minv3-g0002-p2-m7 · up to 0.3xDecides: every 5 min → every 10 min+$0.171 (1 at the bell)−$1.09eliminated
17DPacer · Lean · Sees 1m/5m/30m/2hv3-g0002-p2-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 1m · 5m · 30m · 2h−$0.083 (1 at the bell)−$14.91eliminated
18DPacer · Trend Rider · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p5-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$0.443 (1 at the bell)−$7.89eliminated
19BEcho · Top Caller · Eagerv3-g0002-p1-m1 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.513 (1 at the bell)−$4.25eliminated
20DPacer · Homing Pigeon · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p5-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$0.721 (1 at the bell)−$1.97eliminated
21DPacer · Top Caller · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p5-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.721 (1 at the bell)−$1.98eliminated
22DPacer · Top Caller · Lean · 5-min Viewv3-g0002-p2-m8 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.Forecast horizon: 15 min → 5 min−$0.721 (1 at the bell)−$1.98eliminated
23DPacer · Top Caller · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.−$0.721 (1 at the bell)−$1.98eliminated
24DPacer · Trend Rider · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.−$0.953 (1 at the bell)−$8.41eliminated
25BEcho · Homing Pigeon · Eagerv3-g0002-p1-m2 · up to 0.3xHypothesis: Open Book → Homing Pigeon Evaluate whether price is likely to return toward its observed range centre.−$1.015 (1 at the bell)−$7.24eliminated
26DPacer · founder's setupv3-g0002-p2-m6 · up to 0.3xRisk stance: Lean → Even Keel Weigh possible gains against possible losses when choosing exposure.−$1.115 (1 at the bell)−$7.34eliminated
27BEcho · Trend Rider · Eager · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p1-m8 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Trend Rider Evaluate whether the recent price movement is likely to continue.Forecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min−$1.153 (1 at the bell)−$15.98eliminated
28DPacer · 5-min Viewv3-g0002-p5-m5 · up to 0.3xForecast horizon: 20 min → 5 min−$1.194 (1 at the bell)−$6.17eliminated
29DPacer · Top Caller · 20-min View · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m8 · up to 0.5xHypothesis: Open Book → Top Caller Evaluate whether the recent price movement is exhausting and may reverse.Forecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min−$1.592 (1 at the bell)−$6.58eliminated
30BEcho · Carefulv3-g0002-p1-m6 · up to 1.0xRisk stance: Eager → Careful Give particular attention to how adverse movement could affect capital.−$1.973 (1 at the bell)−$16.80eliminated
31DPacer · 20-min Viewv3-g0001-p4-m5 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged−$2.153 (1 at the bell)−$16.98eliminated
32DPacer · Breakout Chaser · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p4-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Breakout Chaser Evaluate whether movement beyond the recent range is likely to persist.−$2.305 (1 at the bell)−$12.22eliminated
33DPacer · Bold · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m6 · up to 3.0xRisk stance: Even Keel → Bold Give particular attention to the attainable upside of the supplied opportunity.−$2.333 (1 at the bell)−$45.82eliminated
34DPacer · Lean · 20-min Viewv3-g0002-p2-m5 · up to 1.0xForecast horizon: 15 min → 20 min−$2.583 (1 at the bell)−$17.42eliminated
35DPacer · Sees 30m/2h/12h/24hv3-g0002-p3-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24h−$2.583 (1 at the bell)−$17.42eliminated
36DPacer · 20-min View · Sees 5m/45m/4h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p5-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 5m · 1h · 4h · 12h → 5m · 45m · 4h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$2.613 (1 at the bell)−$17.45eliminated
37DPacer · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Every 20 minv3-g0002-p3-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 5 min → every 20 min−$2.792 (1 at the bell)−$12.71eliminated
38DPacer · Sees 10m/30m/3h/12h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p4-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 10m · 30m · 3h · 12h−$2.885 (1 at the bell)−$27.43eliminated
39DPacer · Sees 10m/30m/3h/12hv3-g0002-p4-m4 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 10m · 30m · 3h · 12hHow it reads facts: numbers only → in words−$3.655 (1 at the bell)−$28.20eliminated
40DPacer · Sees 30m/2h/12h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p3-m3 · up to 1.0xWhat it sees: 1m · 15m · 2h · 24h → 30m · 2h · 12h · 24hHow it reads facts: in words → numbers only−$4.143 (1 at the bell)−$18.97eliminated
41DPacer · 20-min View · Every 10 minv3-g0002-p5-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 5 min → every 10 min−$4.675 (1 at the bell)−$29.22eliminated
42DPacer · Tie Breaker · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0002-p4-m2 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$4.779 (1 at the bell)−$29.37eliminated
43DPacer · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Onlyv3-g0001-p4-m3 · parent, unchanged · up to 1.0xunchanged−$4.943 (1 at the bell)−$19.75eliminated
44DPacer · Tie Breaker · Leanv3-g0002-p2-m1 · up to 1.0xHypothesis: Open Book → Tie Breaker Evaluate disagreement between recent and broader price movements.−$6.794 (1 at the bell)−$26.52eliminated
45DPacer · Sees 1m/15m/2h/24h · Numbers Only · Every 2 minv3-g0002-p4-m7 · up to 1.0xDecides: every 5 min → every 2 min−$9.097 (1 at the bell)−$43.22eliminated

Snapshot generated 2026-09-22 18:00:00 UTC · schema v2 · manifest 4f174295… · Corrections to a completed round are versioned, never silently rewritten.